多因素影响下巷道变形特性数值模拟研究

基于FLAC3D有限差分软件对开挖深度、侧压力系数、断面形状等多因素影响下的巷道变形参数进行正交试验，根据正交试验分析结果，分别选取同一深度条件下的圆形、马蹄形、直墙拱形、矩形巷道进行模拟试验并以圆形巷道作为典型断面，对不同深度下的巷道变形特征进行模拟试验。研究结果表明:开挖深度对巷道开挖后的应力差变化影响明显，断面形状对巷道围岩内的塑性区深度和具有显著影响；巷道开挖后的塑性区深度和随形状指数增加而呈线性增长趋势，圆形巷道的塑性区深度和最小，矩形最大；应力差随着巷道开挖深度的增加呈线性增加，深部开采应重视巷道内的应力分布情况。     

基于指标气体关联分析的煤自燃分级预警研究

为准确预警煤炭自然发火,基于程序升温试验,获得指标气体与温度间的关系,并将起始温度V0和特征温度点V1、V2、V3时刻的碳氧化物比率作为预警界限,设定4级预警机制,采用灰色关联分析法关联性分析采空区和上隅角CO气体体积分数和碳氧化物比率,按照关联等级的高低细化4级预警机制,同时选取典型案例,详细展示该预警机制下的预警流程。结果表明:时间序列点(133)CO体积分数的关联系数为0.4812,关联等级为D级,关联性差,而碳氧化物比率的关联系数为0.9975,关联等级为a级,关联性强,综合判断关联性较强(Da),发布蓝色Ⅱ级预警。     

生态环境监测中高锰酸盐指数测定影响因素分析研究

文中从水浴时间、计时开始方式和溶液酸度3个方面,对环保部标准样品研究所低、中、高3个已知浓度标准样品进行实验分析。结果表明,在加入5 mL 1+3硫酸,从每锅第一个样品放入水浴锅开始计时和最佳水浴时间为29 min条件下,所测定的高锰酸盐指数值具有较高的准确度和精密度。     

国内外氧气逃生呼吸器标准比较研究

为了给氧气逃生呼吸器国家标准的制定提供参考，对比分析了国内外相关氧气呼吸器标准。研究结果表明:在保证人员安全前提下，结合产品定位于逃生目的，建议吸入气体中氧气含量的最低值≥15%，均值＞19.5%；二氧化碳含量的均值≤1.5%，峰值≤4%；最高温度≤50℃；吸气阻力≤1.2 kPa，呼气阻力≤1.2 kPa，两者之和≤1.8 kPa；实用性能引用GB/T 23465-2009中的要求。     

在役悬索管道抗风性能研究及结构退化分析*

为提高在役成品油悬索跨越管道结构及性能的可靠性，保障长输油气管道生产运营的安全，建立某在役成品油悬索跨越管道的有限元力学仿真模型，研究风载荷对悬索跨越管道的影响作用，探讨主索、吊索等主要构件性能退化时对悬索管道安全性的影响规律。结果表明:通过有限元模拟可以得到管道失效风速为60 m/s，远大于极限风速，且涡激振动振幅很小；主索腐蚀、吊索断裂以及是否存在抗风索这3种情况均能影响结构的安全性。相关企业应当对结构的重要构件进行定期检修，以保障生产运营安全。     

长江流域鄂西四河流大型底栖动物群落结构特征及水质生物学评价

鄂西水系是国家级水源保护区，也是湖北省重要的生态旅游区。为了解鄂西水生态健康状况，于2014年10月~2017年1月不同时段在宜昌国家可持续发展实验示范区卷桥河（J）、清江利川段（Q）、宜昌市水源地黄柏河（H）和丹江口入库河流天河郧西段（T）开展了底栖动物群落特征研究。研究表明：4个河段共采集到大型底栖动物5门8纲18目61科。基于底栖动物指示种耐污性及其丰度占比分析，表明J、Q和T三河流污染程度沿水流方向呈加重趋势，而H水体健康状况整体较好。运用FBI和SIGNAL底栖生物评价指数，显示四条河流健康程度沿水流方向均呈下降趋势，但H变化趋势平缓，结果表明H水体上下游均处于较健康状态，其他3条河流上游或源头水体健康状况良好，下游受到较重污染。对主要环境因子（TP、NH₃-N、COD_Mn和TN）做主成分分析表明，轴1的解释率达到65.1%，表明轴1可以有效表征主要环境压力梯度。FBI和SIGNAL指数与轴1线性拟合度均较高，表明二者在鄂西河流水生态健康评估中可作为快速生物评价指数。     

A spatially explicit empirical model of structural development processes in natural forests based on climate and topography

Stand structure develops with stand age. Old-growth forests with well-developed stand structure support many species. However, development rates of stand structure likely vary with climate and topography. We modeled structural development of 4 key stand variables and a composite old-growth index as functions of climatic and topographic covariates. We used a hierarchical Bayesian method for analysis of extensive snap-shot National Forest Inventory (NFI) data in Japan (n = 9244) to account for differences in stand age. Development rates of structural variables and the old-growth index exhibited curvilinear responses to environmental covariates. Flat sites were characterized by high rates of structural development. Approximately 150 years were generally required to attain high values (approximately 0.8) of the old-growth index. However, the predicted age to achieve specific values varied depending on environmental conditions. Spatial predictions highlighted regional variation in potential structural development rates. For example, sometimes there were differences of >100 years among sites, even in the same catchment, in attainment of a medium index value (0.5) after timber harvesting. The NFI data suggested that natural forests, especially old natural forests (>150 years), remain generally on unproductive ridges, steep slopes, or areas with low temperature and deep snow, where many structural variables show slow development rates. We suggest that maintenance and restoration of old natural forests on flat sites should be prioritized for conservation due to the likely rapid development of stand structure, although remaining natural forests on low-productivity sites are still important and should be protected.     

煤巷顶板围岩结构承载能力弱化分析

为了揭示煤巷顶板围岩承载能力的弱化机理，结合已有的研究成果，建立巷道顶板三向承载梁结构承载弹塑流弱化分析模型，确定三向承载梁结构承载状态的分析方法，提出用围岩塑性区深度、宽度、长度作为评价巷道围岩承载的弱化分析指标，研究围岩性质、支护强度、采动应用等诱导因子对煤巷顶板结构承载能力弱化分析指标的影响规律。研究结果表明:随着围岩强度的提高、支护强度的增加、扰动应力的减小，弱化分析指标呈似线性减小的变化规律，且减幅由大到小排序为塑性区长度Sy，宽度Sx和深度Sz，同时提高围岩强度、支护强度，减小采动作用应力，煤巷顶板弱化分析指标的减小程度显著高于单因子的改善。     

行政区域环境风险评估与管理--以泉州市惠安县为例

随着经济高速发展,环境问题逐步显现,突发环境事件时有发生,开展以环境风险评估为基石的主动风险管理势在必行。本文以泉州市惠安县为例,基于行政区域环境风险指数评估方法,构建评估指标体系,结合评估区域环境风险特征,计算全县环境风险指数,绘制风险等级分布图,并提出管理建议[1]。     

Development of inherent safety and health index for formulated product design

The numerous formulated products which are introduced to the market consist of chemical ingredients that may cause various safety and health hazards to the consumers. Therefore, it is extremely important to practice a systematic methodology to formulate products with acceptable safety and health performances. This work presents an index-based methodology to assess the safety and health hazards of the ingredients during the early formulation stage of product design. Hence, new inherent safety and health sub-indexes are introduced to improve the current safety and health hazards that are needed in formulated product design. The inherent safety and health sub-indexes are assigned with scores based on the degree of potential hazards. A higher score indicates a higher safety risk or severe health effect, and vice versa. The proposed methodology will greatly assist the users to identify the adverse safety and health effects caused by the ingredients. Hence, it is pivotal to eliminate or reduce the safety and health impacts from product usage. A case study on common ingredients used in the formulation of paint is presented on this study to describe the proposed method.